Experts said the sparse lower-elevation snow, as seen this Jan, has become the norm in recent winters. Pelto said this trend has persisted in recent years, suggesting a “new normal” for the region. “This change was due to sublimation, not melting,” he added. The snowline was already above average at the start of winter, following a dry beginning to 2024 and an unusually warm and wet post-monsoon season.
Pelto added that 2022 was the only recent year when Jan snow lines remained at typical levels. However, the elevated snow lines seen in Jan 2021, 2023, 2024, and 2025 point to a long-term shift in snowfall patterns. Unlike North American and European glaciers, which gain mass from winter snowfall, Himalayan glaciers primarily accumulate snow during summer, making dry winter months particularly critical. Approximately 75% of the annual precipitation falls during the monsoon from June to Sept, during which these glaciers accumulate the most snow. If the snow persists long enough, it can eventually transform into glacial ice.
Experts warn that the winter snow line in the Himalayas reaching unprecedented elevations could threaten water security for downstream communities and increase wildfire risks, as seen in Nepal’s early 2025 fire season.